Analysis

European semiconductor distribution industry grows

The European semiconductor distribution industry started very strong into 2015 and continued the positive trend from the last quarters of 2014. According to the Distributors’ and Manufacturers’ Association of Semiconductor Specialists (DMASS), semiconductor distribution sales in Q1/CY15 grew by 13.3% to €1.82bn, the highest recorded quarterly sales since the introduction of the Euro in 2002.

The majority of the increase is due to a massive swing in the Euro/USD exchange rate, with the Euro losing 17% of its value, compared to Q1/CY14. As a significant part of billings to European customers are done in USD, there is an artificial growth effect of ~50% of the total growth in Q1.

Georg Steinberger, Chairman, DMASS, commented: “This is the opposite of what we have seen over previous years, when the Euro became stronger and stronger. We estimate that ~50% of the growth is a pure currency effect, either by customers buying in USD or by price increases that almost match the Euro/USD upswing. Nevertheless, even neglecting exchange rate effects, the distribution market enjoyed a stable sales growth. The downside certainly is a wave of price increases from overseas suppliers that occur all over the place to compensate exchange rate effects.”

From a regional perspective, the growth leaders in Q1 were to be found in the Eastern Regions and the Nordic countries. While Israel and Turkey grew over 30%, Eastern Europe in total grew by 29%, with the exception Russia, which experienced a loss of 15%. Nordic countries grew by 23%. Of the major regions, UK (16.3%) and France (17.2%) grew above average, while Germany (5.8%) and Italy (8.4%) trailed the trend. In absolute numbers, Germany reported €544m, Italy €171m, UK €158m and France €146m.

“Growth rates in the major markets are differently influenced by the currency effects: Eastern regions and Nordic countries either account more strongly in Dollar or in local currency and therefore show higher increases. Germany, Italy and a few smaller markets have been more Euro-focused, with the effect that their single-digit growth rates are more in line with a realistic market growth,” added Steinberger.

Almost all major product categories stayed in line with the general growth corridor, except power (6%), sensors (9%), MOS micro (10.5%) and standard logic (6.7%). Programmable logic and analogue grew by 16.2%, opto by 15.4%, discretes by 14.2%, memories by 13.9% and other logic by 18.5%. In absolute terms, the biggest product groups reported as follows: analogue grew to €537m, MOS micro to €371m, opto to €185m, power to €175m, programmable logic to €145m, memory to €139m, discretes to €105m and other logic to €91m.

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