Analysis

Yole report explores the inverter industry in China

15th June 2016
Nat Bowers
0

Chinese players have become leaders in diverse inverter market segments, forcing foreign players to collaborate with each other. The rail traction leader was created by the merger of CSR and CNR to form CRRC, which controls more than 40% of the market. Goldwind has become leader of the wind turbine market, dethroning historical leaders such as Vestas and GE for the first time. And while SMA has kept its number one position in the PV inverter market, both Sungrow and Huawei had better results in terms of new installed capacity in MW.

Yole Développement proposes an overview of the Chinese inverter industry in its latest technology & market analysis, titled Inverter Technology Trends & Market Expectations. This report explores the entire inverter market at all the steps along its supply chain. It analyses the key market drivers that will shape this market in the future and provides a value-added understanding of the main technological challenges.

With 6% growth between 2015 and 2021, the Chinese inverter industry must now deal with unavoidable Chinese companies.

Competition is intense in the global inverter market. In several market segments, over 40% of the inverters’ final destination is China, where Chinese suppliers have complete control (thanks to the Chinese government’s protection policies). Under this context, Chinese players have a huge opportunity to expand their activities and lead the inverter industry, even though within some market segments, they still have difficulty gaining market share outside China. To resolve that situation, foreign players must now obtain or set up partnerships with competitors: thanks to powerful collaborations, they can compete with Chinese giants that come to the market with competitive prices. This consolidation is already happening in the wind market with GE’s acquisition of Alstom’s renewables business in 2014 and the current discussions between Siemens and Gamesa. In the rail industry, discussions are ongoing in order to reinforce the position of European and American players. Within the EV/HEV industry, competition is fierce and local players, mostly focused at system and inverter level, control the market.

Analysts from Yole explore the Chinese inverter industry and highlight the specificities of this market and local players’ strategy:

  • Under the wind turbines industry, China is showing an impressive expansion with over 30GW installed, doubling its capacity compared to 2014 figures. Before 2005, foreign brands dominated the Chinese market, with more than 70% of market shares. Today, the Chinese players dominate the wind turbine manufacturing market for local market. However, from the power electronic converters side for wind turbine applications, the situation is different: more than 50% of the converters are still imported from outside China. And, step by step, thanks to government policies, local manufacturers including Sungrow and CRRC are gaining market shares.
  • Within the PV sector, Chinese inverters manufacturers expand their activities and consolidate their market position; Sungrow and Huawei took over the historical leader SMA for the first time in 2015 (installed capacity). Nevertheless, in terms of revenues, SMA is still the leader. The Chinese government has an ambitious target of 150GW of PV capacity by 2020. So far, it has some grid connection issues and targets are not being respected. But Yole highlights the impressive the PV capacity installed year after year in China.
  • In parallel, the rail market is dominated by four major players, all with a worldwide presence: Alstom (France), CRRC (China), Siemens (Germany) and Bombardier (France). With the emergence of CRRC (CSR and CNR fusion), the Asian company now plays in the big leagues, competing with the 3 other historic leaders. Nevertheless, in China CRRC has the rail traction monopoly.
  • UPS market is also showing a great expansion in China. The Chinese market was reaching $740m in 2014, announces Yole in its inverter analysis.

Mattin Grao Txapartegi, Technology & Market Analyst, Yole, commented: “The EV/HEV is today the most important market segment for inverters development. And China’s influence on the local EV market is here again inevitable: BYD is leading the Chinese market followed by BAIC.”

Meanwhile, worldwide car makers are trying to go downward in the supply chain, aspiring to produce the entire powertrain. The automotive supply chain is large and complex, with many players from different fields, with different expertise. Thus, some energy companies are positioning themselves at the car inverter level creating new inter-application synergies. For example, the German company Siemens, which is already present in the energy, power generation and rail markets, recently revealed its willingness to enter the automotive industry with its own inverter product range.

Yole report explores the inverter industry in China

To reinforce their market position and increase their revenues, Chinese companies also expand their activities by addressing new market segments. The vertical integration is one of the main specificities of the inverter market in China. Yole’s analysts identify below some examples:

  • Sungrow reninforces and reshapes its R&D investments to accelerate the PV business. Huawei is showing an impressive expansion with a penetration into diverse markets; and
  • BYD is following Toyota business model: the Chinese giant expands its activities towards the semiconductor industry.

Under this context, what is the status of the Chinese supply chain? “Deeper you get on the inverter supply chain, less Chinese players exist,” comments Mattin Grao Txapartegi from Yole. Chinese companies such as CRRC, BYD & Goldwind are leaders at the system level in many industries. At the power inverter level, the trend is different: they acquire technology competences by joint-ventures and acquisitions. “In the next 5-10 years, with the support of the government, they will get the know-how on the device level too,” adds Mattin.

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